Recent content by patarnoster

  1. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    ARU offtake, Japan angle, and timing off the back of the AU JP agreement. Japan involvement Japan is actively shaping rare earth pricing, not just buying Lynas has locked Japan in to 2038 at ~AUD $110/kg floor pricing ARU said they are “engaging with some of the same parties” That likely means...
  2. patarnoster

    Chart Update 30April

    Thanks for that very interesting, would you say charting gets messy when there are news drops? I guess im trying to get my head around, not just ARU, but in general, I can see it maybe working for WoW, COL, FMG, but many stocks trade around specific news types, so would this charing sit in...
  3. patarnoster

    There is no Rare Earth or Critical Materials Crisis. Stop being Alarmists!

    Sorry that was a typo, I meant "Supply will not be adequate long term" I'm seeing that robotics will drive demand for NdPr beyond EVs. An EV typically uses ~1–2 kg of NdFeB magnets, while a humanoid robot seems to use ~2–4 kg due to the number of motors and actuators. At scale, the impact is...
  4. patarnoster

    Chart Update 30April

    Good luck with that, I say to the US... okay I get ya. Deals will be made, which will cause a drop for sure in the stock... Can charting really account for that?
  5. patarnoster

    There is no Rare Earth or Critical Materials Crisis. Stop being Alarmists!

    Thank you for this breakdown, I agree mostly with this, but a few I think are off the mark. Stockpiles + policy = problem solved USA as the example has not managed to add anything into their stock pile at the moment, moreover: Stockpiles: are short-term buffers don’t solve long-term supply...
  6. patarnoster

    Chart Update 30April

    I will read, but what do you mean regarding Nov 2026? Whats the significance?
  7. patarnoster

    Chart Update 30April

    I look forward to seeing those trade suggestions :)
  8. patarnoster

    Chart Update 30April

    Thanks for posting very interesting. I would note a couple of things with charting a stock against a back drop of a significant catalyst and company rerate. ARU currently is a explorer, pre financing, pre FID, pending a signifiant catalyst to go into production, with that in mind the price...
  9. patarnoster

    March 2026 - Quarterly

    Huge tone shift from previous Qs, finally felt positive about this showing.
  10. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    That’s right, what I mean is there is no fid without vote for the shares, but the board calls fid way earlier. We’re in the window now for oftakes and then board calling fid
  11. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    ASX / Corporations Act requirement: Minimum 28 days notice for a shareholder meeting So: GM date: June 8 Latest notice send: ~May 11
  12. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    Just saw this myself, it looks like FID to be approved on the 8th of June, but the board has to call it earlier, so thats the vote. But this seems wierd, why put these dates in now? seems odd.
  13. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    Thats right, once all is put together and board calls FID they still need to get the final shareholder approval, i don't mean shareholder to do FID, i mean for the whole thing inc. equity etc.
  14. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    I believe to call fid they have to get shareholder approvals, a GM is set usually is 30 to 60 days after ann, so your timing would be right if it all aligns in April.
  15. patarnoster

    Arafura - General Discussion

    Yeah so March was equity, and April is offtakes... looking forward to seeing some commited numbers.
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